Let's take a look at Kenya’s presidential election coming up on Tuesday, 9 August 2022

 

For those who love data, analysis, and insights.

Let's take a look at Kenya’s presidential election coming up on Tuesday, 9 August 2022. 

Accordingly, there are four (4) candidates vying to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta in Kenya's 2022 election.

(a) David Waihiga Mwaure - Agano Party

(b) Raila Odinga - Azimio la Umoja

(c) William Ruto - United Democratic Alliance

(d) George Wajackoyah - Roots Party

Source:

https://www.dw.com/en/kenya-election-2022-your-guide-to-the-presidential-candidates/a-62598497 

So, what are the interesting insights of the tractions from Google Trends?

Take note that Kenya’s population is about 53.77 million, and her Internet Penetration Rate (IPR) is at about 85.2%.

Reference:

https://www.internetworldstats.com/stats1.htm 

Comparing PAST HOUR with data of PAST 7 DAYS, it's very clear that the major competition is between Raila Odinga of Azimio la Umoja, and William Ruto of United Democratic Alliance.

Using PAST 7 DAYS data, the overall average:

- David Waihiga Mwaure (2%)

- Raila Odinga (37%)

- William Ruto (51%)

- George Wajackoyah (1%)

Data:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cE2rtsvmzFSPI66nJ8f_Rp2sYAtscB2VjXacPHEiVv8/edit?usp=sharing 

And there was an interesting flip in the trends when using PAST HOUR data, the overall average:

- David Waihiga Mwaure (1%)

- Raila Odinga (51%)

- William Ruto (48%)

- George Wajackoyah (0%)

Data:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1chZWeFWW-ptGQR9uzVnbRaE1Oot37x2BbOqqfhcAfnA/edit?usp=sharing 

I also checked the PAST 30 DAYS traction average of the political parties:

- Agano Party (8%)

- Azimio la Umoja (42%)

- United Democratic Alliance (24%)

- Roots Party (7%)

As you can see from the data, the competition is majorly between Raila Odinga of the Azimio la Umoja, and William Ruto of the United Democratic Alliance.

Thank you.