"There Is One Player That Scares Me - The Russian Borgov".

 

Elizabeth Harmon said:

"There Is One Player That Scares Me - The Russian Borgov".

She mentioned Borgov, the Russian player considered the best in the world. While this line isn't delivered at a huge moment or anything like that, it does an essential job of setting things up for the finale and establishing that Borgov isn't someone to take lightly.

OVERALL TRENDS AVERAGE

(a) Bola Ahmed Tinubu (66%) with 11 states: Osun, Oyo, Ondo, Jigawa, Ogun, Kwara, Ekiti, Borno, Lagos, Kaduna and Kogi.

(b) Peter Obi (68%) with 15 states Bayelsa, FCT, Edo, Delta, Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau, Rivers, Imo, Akwa Ibom, Enugu, Aba, Ebonyi, Cross River, and Anambra.

Niger state traction is at 31% for both Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi.

(c) Atiku Abubakar (48%) with 10 states: Kebbi, Yobe, Gombe, Katsina, Bauchi, Taraba, Sokoto, Zamfara, Adamawa and Kano.

(d) Rabiu Kwankwaso (6%) with no state.

INTERESTING INSIGHTS

1. The next president of Nigeria will be ONE of these three (3) candidates: Peter Obi, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, and Atiku Abubakar.

2. No candidate currently has the three (3) sacred states that predictively determine who becomes president: Lagos, Kano, and Rivers.

3. Peter Obi’s strongest traction is from the South-East (SE) and the South-South (SS). It’s interesting to note that the combined registered voters in these regions are merely about the equivalent of registered voters from the North-West (NW) alone.

4. Having more states is different from having more votes. A candidate can still have lesser states and majority votes.

According to (IFES Election Guide), the President is elected by a qualified plurality vote to serve a 4-year term. 

(a) An ABSOLUTE MAJORITY and;

(b) At least 25% in two-thirds of the states is required for a candidate to be elected in the first round.

(c) If no candidate wins in the first round, there is a second round between the top two candidates.

Sugar Hill Steward made it clear to Tyson Fury in the second fight against Deontay Wilder, that he will not be able to defeat Wilder with points on U.S. soil, remember that the fight was held at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas and that he can only be victorious by going for a knockout in the ring.

This, I believe is also a similar strategy that can help the underdog (Peter Obi) win the presidency in 2023. Currently, Peter Obi has little or no traction in these three (3) states Jigawa, Yobe, and Kebbi.

Knockouts here can be interpreted as a 3 million to 5 million votes margin ahead of the Nigerian Borgovs (Bola Ahmed Tinubu & Atiku Abubakar). Of course, illustratively Peter Obi is Elizabeth Harmon in this context.

"There Is One Player That Scares Me - The Russian Borgov".

Data:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16Cxn1VryxfrOx1BkgFdNZOuHBeYPt2EoH59oKwVPIA4/edit?usp=sharing 

Thank you.